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Stock markets find some relief on tariff hopes and sound earnings

Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose on Tuesday following a tech-driven rally on Wall Street. President Trump’s comments on possible temporary tariff relief provided some support, but uncertainty remains over future trade policies. As the corporate earnings season has just kicked off, the New York investment bank Goldman Sachs was able to beat expectations with its first-quarter earnings. Nvidia promised major investments in AI technology in the US. 

  • Date
  • Author Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
  • Reading time 5 minutes

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Asia-Pacific markets rose on Tuesday, driven by optimism over potential US tariff exemptions. Japan’s Nikkei 225 increased by 1.1%, South Korea’s Kospi added 1%, bolstered by technology and automobile stocks. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.4%. Indian markets surged over 2% in early trade, with the Nifty 50 up 2.1% and the BSE Sensex gaining 2.1%. In Hongkong, the Hang Seng index traded flat at the close. Chinese markets fluctuated due to ongoing trade tensions with the US and impending GDP data.

US markets struggle amid trade policy uncertainty

Equity indices on Wall Street experienced a mixed start to the week as erratic trade policies caused investor concern. On Saturday, an exemption for tariffs on certain electronics from China and potential relief for automakers offered some optimism. However, the prospect of new tariffs on medical products tempered this relief. The Dow Jones Industrial rose 0.8% to 40,524.79 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.8% and 0.6%, respectively. Despite recent gains, the Dow remains down nearly 5% for the year. Investor sentiment was further shaken by comments from US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who indicated that current tariff suspensions are temporary. Investors are now focused on upcoming first-quarter earnings reports from major firms including Bank of America and Citigroup, as well as new economic data releases.

Goldman Sachs beats first-quarter expectations

The New York investment house reported first-quarter earnings of USD 14.12 per share on Monday, surpassing estimates of USD 12.35. Revenue rose to USD 15.06 billion, driven by a 15% profit increase to USD 4.74 billion. The bank's equities trading revenue exceeded expectations, despite market volatility due to President Donald Trump’s trade policies. CEO David Solomon expressed confidence in navigating the changing economic landscape.

Nvidia to produce AI technology in the US

Nvidia announced plans to produce up to USD 500 billion worth of AI technology in the US over the next four years. Two supercomputer factories will be built in Texas with Foxconn in Houston and Wistron in Dallas, with mass production starting in 12 to 15 months. Additionally, chip production for AI software has commenced with TSMC in Arizona. This move aligns with efforts to boost US chip manufacturing amidst geopolitical concerns and follows substantial subsidies offered during Joe Biden's presidency.

CEOs in the US foresee recession within six months

A survey released on Monday by Chief Executive revealed that 62% of US CEOs anticipate a recession within six months, up from 48% in March. This growing concern is linked to President Donald Trump's tariff policies, which have increased market volatility. The survey also indicated that 75% of CEOs believe tariffs will negatively impact their businesses this year. Despite these worries, slightly over half of the respondents expect an improvement in business conditions over the next year.

European markets rally on easing tariff tensions

Stock indices in Europa gained on Monday following the exemptions for certain electronics from China, and the EU has paused its counter tariffs for 90 days to engage in discussions. The EuroStoxx 50 rose by 2.6%, recovering over 8% from its low last week. The Swiss SMI gained 2.3%. Notably, European banks and technology sectors saw significant gains. 

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Louis Vuitton, Beiersdorf, Bank of America, Johnson & Johnson, Citigroup und Rio Tinto.

Economic data in focus: Reserve Bank of Australia meeting minutes (03:30), UK unemployment rate (08:00), European Central Bank Bank Lending Survey (10:00), German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment (11:00), euro-area industrial production (11:00), Canadian Consumer Price Index (14:30), US Empire State Manufacturing Survey (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.