The European Central Bank (ECB) will communicate its future monetary policy today at 13:45 (CET). In general, no immediate adjustment of the monetary policy strategy is expected. The focus is rather on the assessment regarding the increased inflation rates and expectations – the press conference of ECB President Christine Lagarde is scheduled for 14:30 (CET).
The Bank of Japan this morning reaffirmed its expansionary monetary policy stance and now forecasts that inflation will remain well below the 2% target for at least two more years. The BoJ lowered its inflation forecast for the year ending March 2022 to zero percent from +0.6%. At the same time, the central bank expects economic growth in the current year to be weaker than previously anticipated.
The central bank of Canada announced yesterday that it will end its bond-buying program. In addition, the Bank of Canada held out the prospect of an interest rate hike next year – currently the key interest rate stands at +0.25%. As a result, the Canadian dollar strengthened against all other currencies. The central bank justified the withdrawal of its quantitative measures with the fact that the inflationary pressure will be higher and more sustainable than expected.
On the New York Stock Exchange, the ongoing corporate reporting season continues to take center stage. Although the indices have recently reached new record highs, the momentum seems to lose steam each time. The Dow Jones Industrial was down -0.74% to 35'490.69 points by the closing bell. The broad S&P 500 closed -0.51% lower at 4'551.68 points. Meanwhile, the technology exchange Nasdaq continued its recent rally, spurred by the quarterly figures of Alphabet and Microsoft. Again today, a whole series of important quarterly reports are expected, such as in Europe from Volkswagen, Sanofi or in the US from Amazon and Apple.
According to the latest survey results from the Nuremberg-based consumer research company GfK, German consumers are currently buying more because they fear further price increases. The increased propensity to buy is leading to a positive consumer climate. Thus, contrary to expectations, the indicator for November improved from +0.4 to +0.9 points (consensus -0.3). The weakened expectations regarding incomes and the general economy were not able to affect the current positive basic sentiment, GfK commented.
|05:00||JP||Bank of Japan interest rate decision||-0.1%|
|08:30||JP||Bank of Japan press conference|
|09:00||SP||Consumer Prices (October, y/y)||+4.0%|
|10:00||IT||Business Climate (October)||113.0|
|10:00||IT||Consumer Sentiment (October)||119.6|
|11:00||EZ||Economic Sentiment (October)||117.8|
|11:00||EZ||Business Climate (October)||+1.72|
|13:45||EZ||ECB monetary policy announcement||-0.5%|
|14:00||GE||Consumer Prices (October)||+4.1%|
|14:30||EZ||ECB press conference|
|14:30||US||GDP Q3 (annualized, q/q)||+6.7%|
|14:30||US||Initial Jobless Claims (weekly)||290,000|
|16:00||US||Pending Home Sales (September, m/m)||+8.1%|
|SZ||Ems Chemie||9M Sales|
|USA||Merck & Co||Q3|
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Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.
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