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Markets largely recover amid tariff uncertainty

US stock losses were limited to start the week and the dollar strengthened on Tuesday after the US imposed tariffs on Chinese imports, prompting a swift retaliatory response from China. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump paused tariffs on Mexico and Canada for 30 days following border enforcement agreements, providing temporary relief markets. European stocks were also under pressure on Monday, while Asian stocks mostly posted solid gains on Tuesday. Gold prices remained near record highs as investors sought safe havens amidst the uncertainty.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

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US stock markets saw significant recovery on Monday after initial sharp declines early in the session, driven by erratic US tariff policies. The Dow Jones Industrial closed down 0.3% at 44,421.91 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell 0.8% each. Manufacturing activity data supported sentiment slightly with US manufacturing expanding for the first time since October 2022. The Manufacturing PMI increased to 50.9 in January from 49.2 in December, the Institute for Supply Management reported on Monday. Despite the better-than-expected US industrial data, investor focus remained on tariff uncertainties. China imposed tariffs on US imports in response to the US implementing a 10% tariff on all Chinese exports. China will levy 15% on US coal and LNG and 10% on crude oil and farm equipment. Beijing's new tariffs are set to take effect on 10 February. Additionally, China initiated an anti-monopoly investigation into Google and imposed export controls on rare earth elements.

Trump tariff pause boosts Asia-Pacific markets

Asia-Pacific markets climbed on Tuesday after US President Donald Trump postponed tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 0.6%, while South Korea's Kospi increased by 1.1%. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.1%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index advanced 2.4%, while Chinese markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday.

Euro-area inflation climbs to 2.5%

Euro-area inflation rose to 2.5% in January, exceeding forecasts of 2.4%, driven by a sharp 1.8% increase in energy costs, according to Eurostat data released on Monday. Core inflation remained at 2.7%, while services inflation slightly decreased to 3.9% from December's 4%. The European Central Bank recently cut interest rates by 25 basis points, aiming for a 2% medium-term inflation target. European stock indices fell on Monday with the Euro Stoxx 50 dropping 1.3%. Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 lost 1.4% and 1.2%, respectively.

Swiss Services PMI Surges in January

Swiss PMI rose by 0.5 points to 47.5 in January, remaining below the 50-point growth threshold. The services sector PMI increased significantly from 51.3 in December to 57.2, the highest level in two and a half years, indicating improved sentiment. The employment component also showed signs of recovery, rising by 3.2 points to 47.1. Despite the inauguration of Donald Trump, industrial expectations regarding protectionism remain largely unchanged. The Swiss Market Index decreased by 0.5% on Monday.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Alphabet, AMD, Amgen, BNP Paribas, Diageo, Electronic Arts, Ferrari, Infineon, Intesa Sanpaolo, Merck, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, PayPal, PepsiCo, Pfizer, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, UBS.

Economic data in focus: SECO Swiss consumer sentiment (09:00), US JOLTS jobs report (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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