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The uncertainty in the markets remains palpable

Investors were relieved by US President Donald Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff reprieve on most countries, while the trade war with China further escalated. Yesterday, US tariffs on China were once more increased to 145%. Stock prices on Wall Street again came under selling pressure and equity markets in Asia fell on Friday, with the Nikkei down 5% on US-China trade war fears. In economic news, US consumer prices rose by a more moderate 2.4% year-on-year in March, down from 2.8% in February. 

  • Date
  • Author Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
  • Reading time 5 minutes

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The White House confirmed on Thursday that US tariffs on Chinese imports have now reached 145%, following President Donald Trump's latest executive order. This increase includes a new 125% tariff, up from 84%, combined with an existing 20% fentanyl-related tariff. According to experts, China’s shipments to the US could likely plunge by 80% over the next two years.

US stocks retreat as tariff concerns resurface

On the New York stock exchange, indices declined again sharply on Thursday, reversing some of the gains from Wednesday's rally after President Trump announced a 90-day pause on certain tariffs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1015 points, or 2.5%, closing at 39,593.66. The S&P 500 declined 3.5% to 5268.05, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 4.3% to 16,387.31. Major decliners included Apple, Tesla, Nvidia, and Meta Platforms. The ten-year Treasury yield climbed six basis points to 4.46% on Friday.

US inflation rate eases in March

The US inflation rate fell to 2.4% in March, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday. Economists had anticipated a year-on-year rise of 2.5% and a flat month-on-month reading. The consumer price index dropped by 0.1% for the month, while core inflation, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.1%, reaching an annual rate of 2.8% (consensus 3.0%). This marks the lowest core inflation rate since March 2021. Consequently, markets are now anticipating four quarter-point rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by early 2026, following a period of uncertainty. However, the inflation figures reflect a period before President Trump’s tariffs were implemented and subsequently delayed.

Japan stocks plummet amid trade war fears

In Tokyo, Japanese stocks fell sharply on Friday, with the Nikkei 225 dropping about 5% and the Topix down 4%, as concerns over the US-China trade war intensified. The broader Asia-Pacific markets showed mixed results, with Australia's S&P/ASX 200 declining 1.3% and South Korea's Kospi down 0.9%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index gained 0.6%.

EU delays tariffs on US goods for 90 days

The European Union will delay its retaliatory tariffs on US goods for 90 days, the European Commission announced on Thursday. This decision follows US President Trump's temporary reduction of new tariff rates to 10% for most trade partners, effective Wednesday. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated that the EU aims to give negotiations a chance, warning that countermeasures will be implemented if talks fail. The tariffs, initially set to begin on 15 April, target various US products including clothing, poultry, and machinery.

European stocks surge on tariff reversal

European stocks experienced their strongest session in three years on Thursday after US President Donald Trump temporarily reduced tariffs on imports from most trade partners. The EuroStoxx 50 index rose 4.3% to 4818.92 points, with significant gains in banking, tech, and industrial sectors. The DAX in Frankfurt advanced 4.5% and the SMI in Zurich gained 3.3%.

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from BlackRock, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo.

Economic data in focus: European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks (11:45), German Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (08:00), UK gross domestic product (08:00), US Producer Price Index (14:30), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.